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VOO:NYSE ARCAVanguard S&P 500 ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

$678.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

VOO is trading at $678, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (~$686) and 50‑day SMA (~$656), indicating short‑term strength. The 200‑day SMA sits near $629, reinforcing a long‑term bullish backdrop. RSI at 49.4 suggests the ETF is neither overbought nor oversold, offering room for upside. MACD shows a modest bearish divergence (histogram –1.9), but the overall trend remains bullish per the price action. Volume is increasing, supporting the recent price rally toward the 52‑week high of $699.15. The 30‑day volatility of ~12.3% is moderate, and the fund’s beta of ~1 mirrors the S&P 500’s movements.
The fund’s expense ratio of 0.03% and zero tracking error keep costs and tracking risk minimal. A YTD return of 11.25% and a dividend yield of roughly 1% add attractive income and total‑return potential. Market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” (Fear‑Greed Index 83), which aligns with the inflow surge noted in recent news. Competing ETFs such as IVV are essentially identical, but VOO’s larger asset base and comparable spreads make it a solid core holding. With support near $672.55 and resistance at $699.15, the price has room to advance while staying above key levels. Overall, the confluence of strong technical positioning, low costs, and favorable market sentiment supports a positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Increasing volume supporting upward move
  • Support level intact at $672.55

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Diversified large‑blend exposure
  • YTD return of 11.25% and dividend yield ~1%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Broad market replication of S&P 500
  • Cost efficiency makes it a core retirement holding
  • Historical beta near 1 ensures market‑aligned performance

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio3.00%
AUM$1701.5B
Inception Date2010-09-07
Avg Daily Volume6,548,020
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.03%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.4
Support$672.55
Resistance$699.15
MA 20$686.08
MA 50$655.96
MA 200$628.94
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Risk Assessment

Beta1.00
Volatility12.29%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.